Transparency · Sharp Metric
Model CLV Ledger
Published picks graded against closing-line movement and market-implied probability.
Closing Line Value
Sharp Bettor Receipt
Average True CLV
Pending
Market move from opening to close on the picked side.
Beat-The-Close Rate
Pending
0/0 true-CLV rows moved toward the model.
Model Edge vs Close
-1.4%
Model confidence minus closing implied probability.
Coverage
47/125
Scored picks with true CLV or model-edge data attached.
Event Drilldown
5 events
| Event | Model | True CLV | Beat Close | Edge vs Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates
May 2, 2026
|
7/9 (78%) | -- | -- | -4.0% |
|
UFC Fight Night: Griffin vs. Valenzuela
April 25, 2026
|
7/12 (58%) | -- | -- | +8.1% |
|
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott
April 18, 2026
|
4/8 (50%) | -- | -- | -2.0% |
|
UFC 327
April 11, 2026
|
5/7 (71%) | -- | -- | -2.5% |
|
UFC Fight Night: Ewing vs. Estevam
April 4, 2026
|
7/11 (64%) | -- | -- | -8.2% |