UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg
April 11, 2026 •
Fight-by-fight prediction accuracy
12
Fights
11
Scored Picks
8
Correct
73%
Accuracy
1 draw — excluded from accuracy (non-verdict outcome)
Method Tracking
3/10 exact methods
Exact Method Accuracy
30%
Winner + finish bucket both correct
Data Coverage
1
0 missing result method • 1 missing predicted method
Post-Fight Recap
The model went 8/11 (73%) on this card. Exact methods landed 3/10 (30%). Best call: Radtke at 58% confidence. Biggest miss: Murzakanov at 60% confidence. Strong performance overall.
Fight-by-Fight Results
| Fighter A | Fighter B | Predicted | Confidence | Pred Method | Actual Winner | Actual Method | Scored | Source | Winner Result | Method Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patricio Freire | Aaron Pico ← pick | Pico |
50%
Coin flip
|
DEC25% | Pico | DEC | Apr 11, 11:59 PM | Manual | Correct | Exact |
| Curtis Blaydes | Josh Hokit ← pick | Hokit |
50%
Coin flip
|
KO/TKO33% | Hokit | DEC | Apr 11, 11:59 PM | Auto-scored | Correct | Miss |
| Charles Radtke ← pick | Francisco Prado | Radtke |
58%
Lean
|
DEC30% | Radtke | DEC | Apr 11, 11:59 PM | Auto-scored | Correct | Exact |
| Kelvin Gastelum ← pick | Vicente Luque | Gastelum |
50%
Coin flip
|
DEC23% | Luque | SUB | Apr 11, 11:59 PM | Auto-scored | Wrong | Miss |
| Tatiana Suarez ← pick | Loopy Godinez | Suarez |
54%
Coin flip
|
DEC34% | Suarez | SUB | Apr 11, 11:59 PM | Auto-scored | Correct | Miss |
| Kevin Holland | Randy Brown ← pick | Brown |
54%
Coin flip
|
DEC21% | Holland | DEC | Apr 11, 11:59 PM | Auto-scored | Wrong | Miss |
| Mateusz Gamrot ← pick | Esteban Ribovics | Gamrot |
53%
Coin flip
|
DEC34% | Gamrot | SUB | Apr 11, 11:59 PM | Auto-scored | Correct | Miss |
| Cub Swanson ← pick | Nate Landwehr | Swanson |
53%
Coin flip
|
KO/TKO32% | Swanson | KO/TKO | Apr 11, 11:59 PM | Auto-scored | Correct | Exact |
| Azamat Murzakanov ← pick | Paulo Costa | Murzakanov |
60%
Lean
|
KO/TKO41% | Costa | KO/TKO | Apr 11, 11:59 PM | Auto-scored | Wrong | Miss |
| Dominick Reyes ← pick | Johnny Walker | Reyes |
52%
Coin flip
|
KO/TKO37% | Reyes | DEC | Apr 11, 11:59 PM | Auto-scored | Correct | Miss |
| Jiri Prochazka | Carlos Ulberg ← pick | Ulberg |
51%
Coin flip
|
Unknown | Ulberg | KO/TKO | Apr 11, 11:59 PM | Manual | Correct | No pick |
| Chris Padilla ← pick | MarQuel Mederos | Padilla |
52%
Coin flip
|
DEC26% | Draw | Draw/NC | Apr 11, 11:59 PM | Result log | Draw/NC | N/A |