UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
May 9, 2026 •
Fight-by-fight prediction accuracy
13
Fights
13
Scored Picks
9
Correct
69%
Accuracy
Method Tracking
2/13 exact methods
Exact Method Accuracy
15%
Winner + finish bucket both correct
Data Coverage
0
0 missing result method • 0 missing predicted method
Post-Fight Recap
The model went 9/13 (69%) on this card. Exact methods landed 2/13 (15%). Best call: Susurkaev at 85% confidence. Biggest miss: Gomis at 72% confidence. Solid card for the model.
Fight-by-Fight Results
| Fighter A | Fighter B | Predicted | Confidence | Pred Method | Actual Winner | Actual Method | Scored | Source | Winner Result | Method Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tatsuro Taira | Joshua Van ← pick | Van |
51%
Coin flip
|
KO/TKO27% | Van | KO/TKO | May 18, 09:05 PM | Auto-scored | Correct | Exact |
| Jim Miller ← pick | Jared Gordon | Miller |
54%
Coin flip
|
KO/TKO27% | Miller | SUB | May 18, 09:05 PM | Auto-scored | Correct | Miss |
| Pat Sabatini | William Gomis ← pick | Gomis |
72%
Strong
|
DEC40% | Sabatini | DEC | May 09, 09:35 PM | Auto-scored | Wrong | Miss |
| Grant Dawson | Mateusz Rębecki | Rebecki |
50%
Coin flip
|
KO/TKO24% | Dawson | SUB | May 09, 09:35 PM | Auto-scored | Wrong | Miss |
| Alexander Volkov ← pick | Waldo Cortes Acosta | Volkov |
50%
Coin flip
|
DEC0% | Volkov | DEC | May 09, 09:35 PM | Owner backfill | Correct | Exact |
| Djorden Santos | Baisangur Susurkaev ← pick | Susurkaev |
85%
Strong
|
DEC11% | Susurkaev | SUB | May 09, 09:35 PM | Auto-scored | Correct | Miss |
| Roman Kopylov ← pick | Marco Tulio | Kopylov |
53%
Coin flip
|
KO/TKO41% | Kopylov | DEC | May 09, 09:35 PM | Auto-scored | Correct | Miss |
| Yaroslav Amosov ← pick | Joel Álvarez | Amosov |
51%
Coin flip
|
KO/TKO28% | Amosov | SUB | May 09, 09:35 PM | Auto-scored | Correct | Miss |
| Ozzy Diaz | Ateba Gautier ← pick | Gautier |
85%
Strong
|
DEC11% | Gautier | KO/TKO | May 09, 09:35 PM | Auto-scored | Correct | Miss |
| Jeremy Stephens | King Green ← pick | Green |
85%
Strong
|
KO/TKO9% | Green | SUB | May 09, 09:35 PM | Auto-scored | Correct | Miss |
| Joaquin Buckley ← pick | Sean Brady | Buckley |
50%
Coin flip
|
DEC27% | Brady | DEC | May 09, 09:35 PM | Auto-scored | Wrong | Miss |
| Sean Strickland | Khamzat Chimaev ← pick | Chimaev |
56%
Coin flip
|
DEC29% | Strickland | DEC | May 09, 09:35 PM | Auto-scored | Wrong | Miss |
| Clayton Carpenter | Jose Ochoa ← pick | Ochoa |
54%
Coin flip
|
KO/TKO28% | Ochoa | DEC | May 09, 09:35 PM | Auto-scored | Correct | Miss |