UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott
April 18, 2026 •
Fight-by-fight prediction accuracy
12
Fights
11
Scored Picks
6
Correct
55%
Accuracy
1 draw — excluded from accuracy (non-verdict outcome)
Method Tracking
4/11 exact methods
Exact Method Accuracy
36%
Winner + finish bucket both correct
Data Coverage
0
0 missing result method • 0 missing predicted method
Post-Fight Recap
The model went 6/11 (55%) on this card. Exact methods landed 4/11 (36%). Best call: Malott at 63% confidence. Biggest miss: Leblanc at 63% confidence. Solid card for the model.
Fight-by-Fight Results
| Fighter A | Fighter B | Predicted | Confidence | Pred Method | Actual Winner | Actual Method | Scored | Source | Winner Result | Method Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilbert Burns | Mike Malott ← pick | Malott |
63%
Lean
|
KO/TKO40% | Malott | KO/TKO | Apr 19, 02:50 AM | Auto-scored | Correct | Exact |
| Kyler Phillips ← pick | Charles Jourdain | Phillips |
53%
Coin flip
|
DEC36% | Jourdain | DEC | Apr 19, 02:14 AM | Auto-scored | Wrong | Miss |
| Mandel Nallo ← pick | Jai Herbert | Nallo |
50%
Coin flip
|
KO/TKO38% | Herbert | KO/TKO | Apr 19, 01:33 AM | Auto-scored | Wrong | Miss |
| Jasmine Jasudavicius ← pick | Karine Silva | Jasudavicius |
57%
Coin flip
|
DEC41% | Jasudavicius | DEC | Apr 19, 01:12 AM | Auto-scored | Correct | Exact |
| Thiago Moises | Gauge Young ← pick | Young |
58%
Lean
|
DEC46% | Young | DEC | Apr 19, 12:41 AM | Auto-scored | Correct | Exact |
| Dennis Buzukja | Marcio Barbosa ← pick | Barbosa |
56%
Coin flip
|
DEC39% | Barbosa | KO/TKO | Apr 18, 11:46 PM | Auto-scored | Correct | Miss |
| Julien Leblanc ← pick | Robert Valentin | Leblanc |
63%
Lean
|
DEC38% | Valentin | SUB | Apr 18, 11:25 PM | Auto-scored | Wrong | Miss |
| Melissa Croden ← pick | Daria Zhelezniakova | Croden |
50%
Coin flip
|
KO/TKO23% | Croden | DEC | Apr 18, 10:54 PM | Auto-scored | Correct | Miss |
| JJ Aldrich | Jamey-Lyn Horth ← pick | Horth |
53%
Coin flip
|
DEC37% | Aldrich | DEC | Apr 18, 10:22 PM | Auto-scored | Wrong | Miss |
| Jamie Siraj ← pick | John Yannis | Siraj |
60%
Lean
|
DEC31% | Yannis | KO/TKO | Apr 18, 09:19 PM | Auto-scored | Wrong | Miss |
| Tanner Boser | Gokhan Saricam ← pick | Saricam |
55%
Coin flip
|
KO/TKO32% | Saricam | KO/TKO | Pending | Manual | Correct | Exact |
| John Castaneda ← pick | Mark Vologdin | Castaneda |
59%
Lean
|
DEC42% | Draw | Draw/NC | May 21, 05:18 AM | Result log | Draw/NC | N/A |