UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim
June 6, 2026 •
Fight-by-fight prediction accuracy
12
Fights
12
Scored Picks
9
Correct
75%
Accuracy
Method Tracking
4/12 exact methods
Exact Method Accuracy
33%
Winner + finish bucket both correct
Data Coverage
0
0 missing result method • 0 missing predicted method
Post-Fight Recap
The model went 9/12 (75%) on this card. Exact methods landed 4/12 (33%). Best call: Chaves at 76% confidence. Biggest miss: Muhammad at 54% confidence. Strong performance overall.
Fight-by-Fight Results
| Fighter A | Fighter B | Predicted | Confidence | Pred Method | Actual Winner | Actual Method | Scored | Source | Winner Result | Method Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belal Muhammad ← pick | Gabriel Bonfim | Muhammad |
54%
Coin flip
|
DEC28% | Bonfim | DEC | Jun 07, 02:57 AM | Auto-scored | Wrong | Miss |
| Brendan Allen ← pick | Edmen Shahbazyan | Allen |
54%
Coin flip
|
DEC24% | Allen | DEC | Jun 07, 02:09 AM | Auto-scored | Correct | Exact |
| Farés Ziam ← pick | Tom Nolan | Ziam |
54%
Coin flip
|
KO/TKO27% | Nolan | DEC | Jun 07, 01:30 AM | Auto-scored | Wrong | Miss |
| Bryce Mitchell | Santiago Luna ← pick | Luna |
54%
Coin flip
|
DEC23% | Mitchell | SUB | Jun 07, 12:54 AM | Auto-scored | Wrong | Miss |
| Junior Tafa | Iwo Baraniewski ← pick | Baraniewski |
65%
Strong
|
KO/TKO36% | Baraniewski | KO/TKO | Jun 07, 12:21 AM | Auto-scored | Correct | Exact |
| Matt Schnell | Alessandro Costa ← pick | Costa |
53%
Coin flip
|
KO/TKO38% | Costa | KO/TKO | Jun 06, 11:44 PM | Auto-scored | Correct | Exact |
| Marcus McGhee ← pick | John Yannis | McGhee |
51%
Coin flip
|
KO/TKO37% | McGhee | DEC | Jun 06, 11:26 PM | Auto-scored | Correct | Miss |
| Bruno Silva | Édgar Cháirez ← pick | Cháirez |
54%
Coin flip
|
KO/TKO23% | Cháirez | SUB | Jun 06, 10:44 PM | Auto-scored | Correct | Miss |
| Priscila Cachoeira | Chelsea Chandler ← pick | Chandler |
54%
Coin flip
|
KO/TKO23% | Chandler | SUB | Jun 06, 10:22 PM | Auto-scored | Correct | Miss |
| Joanderson Brito ← pick | Jordan Leavitt | Brito |
50%
Coin flip
|
DEC24% | Brito | SUB | Jun 06, 10:05 PM | Auto-scored | Correct | Miss |
| Yuneisy Duben | Jeisla Chaves ← pick | Chaves |
76%
Strong
|
DEC32% | Chaves | DEC | Jun 06, 09:50 PM | Auto-scored | Correct | Exact |
| Ariane Carnelossi | Ketlen Souza ← pick | Souza |
54%
Coin flip
|
DEC29% | Souza | KO/TKO | Jun 06, 09:18 PM | Auto-scored | Correct | Miss |