UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo
May 30, 2026 •
Fight-by-fight prediction accuracy
12
Fights
12
Scored Picks
9
Correct
75%
Accuracy
Method Tracking
6/12 exact methods
Exact Method Accuracy
50%
Winner + finish bucket both correct
Data Coverage
0
0 missing result method • 0 missing predicted method
Post-Fight Recap
The model went 9/12 (75%) on this card. Exact methods landed 6/12 (50%). Best call: Hill at 70% confidence. Biggest miss: Smotherman at 76% confidence. Strong performance overall.
Fight-by-Fight Results
| Fighter A | Fighter B | Predicted | Confidence | Pred Method | Actual Winner | Actual Method | Scored | Source | Winner Result | Method Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Song Yadong ← pick | Deiveson Figueiredo | Yadong |
54%
Coin flip
|
DEC28% | Yadong | SUB | May 30, 01:43 PM | Auto-scored | Correct | Miss |
| Alonzo Menifield | Zhang Mingyang ← pick | Mingyang |
54%
Coin flip
|
KO/TKO43% | Menifield | KO/TKO | May 30, 01:08 PM | Auto-scored | Wrong | Miss |
| Sergei Pavlovich ← pick | Tallison Teixeira | Pavlovich |
61%
Lean
|
KO/TKO57% | Pavlovich | KO/TKO | May 30, 12:38 PM | Auto-scored | Correct | Exact |
| Kai Asakura | Cameron Smotherman ← pick | Smotherman |
76%
Strong
|
KO/TKO27% | Asakura | KO/TKO | May 30, 12:19 PM | Auto-scored | Wrong | Miss |
| Jake Matthews ← pick | Carlston Harris | Matthews |
54%
Coin flip
|
DEC27% | Matthews | DEC | May 30, 12:03 PM | Auto-scored | Correct | Exact |
| Luis Felipe Dias ← pick | Yi Sak Lee | Dias |
50%
Coin flip
|
KO/TKO21% | Dias | KO/TKO | May 30, 10:48 AM | Auto-scored | Correct | Exact |
| Ding Meng ← pick | Jose Henrique | Meng |
54%
Coin flip
|
KO/TKO37% | Henrique | DEC | May 30, 10:31 AM | Auto-scored | Wrong | Miss |
| Aoriqileng | Cody Haddon ← pick | Haddon |
62%
Lean
|
KO/TKO27% | Haddon | KO/TKO | May 30, 09:51 AM | Auto-scored | Correct | Exact |
| Luis Gurule | Rei Tsuruya ← pick | Tsuruya |
54%
Coin flip
|
DEC23% | Tsuruya | SUB | May 30, 09:21 AM | Auto-scored | Correct | Miss |
| Angela Hill ← pick | Jingnan Xiong | Hill |
70%
Strong
|
DEC40% | Hill | DEC | May 30, 09:09 AM | Auto-scored | Correct | Exact |
| Zhu Kangjie | Rodrigo Vera ← pick | Vera |
50%
Coin flip
|
DEC21% | Vera | KO/TKO | May 30, 08:37 AM | Auto-scored | Correct | Miss |
| Loma Lookboonmee | Jaqueline Amorim ← pick | Amorim |
52%
Coin flip
|
SUB18% | Amorim | SUB | May 30, 08:22 AM | Auto-scored | Correct | Exact |