UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal
April 25, 2026 •
Fight-by-fight prediction accuracy
13
Fights
13
Scored Picks
8
Correct
62%
Accuracy
Method Tracking
5/11 exact methods
Exact Method Accuracy
45%
Winner + finish bucket both correct
Data Coverage
2
0 missing result method • 2 missing predicted method
Post-Fight Recap
The model went 8/13 (62%) on this card. Exact methods landed 5/11 (45%). Best call: Marshall at 85% confidence. Biggest miss: Vieira at 62% confidence. Solid card for the model.
Fight-by-Fight Results
| Fighter A | Fighter B | Predicted | Confidence | Pred Method | Actual Winner | Actual Method | Scored | Source | Winner Result | Method Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Griffin | Victor Valenzuela ← pick | Valenzuela |
65%
Strong
|
Unknown | Valenzuela | DEC | Apr 26, 06:49 PM | Auto-scored | Correct | No pick |
| Francis Marshall ← pick | Lucas Brennan | Marshall |
85%
Strong
|
Unknown | Marshall | DEC | Apr 26, 06:49 PM | Auto-scored | Correct | No pick |
| Jackson McVey | Sedriques Dumas ← pick | Dumas |
59%
Lean
|
DEC28% | McVey | SUB | Apr 26, 06:24 PM | Auto-scored | Wrong | Miss |
| Mayra Bueno Silva | Michelle Montague ← pick | Montague |
74%
Strong
|
DEC59% | Montague | DEC | Apr 26, 06:24 PM | Auto-scored | Correct | Exact |
| Marcus Buchecha | Ryan Spann ← pick | Spann |
59%
Lean
|
DEC30% | Spann | KO/TKO | Apr 26, 06:24 PM | Auto-scored | Correct | Miss |
| Rodolfo Vieira ← pick | Eric McConico | Vieira |
62%
Lean
|
KO/TKO27% | McConico | DEC | Apr 26, 06:24 PM | Auto-scored | Wrong | Miss |
| Talita Alencar ← pick | Julia Polastri | Alencar |
52%
Coin flip
|
DEC40% | Alencar | DEC | Apr 26, 06:24 PM | Auto-scored | Correct | Exact |
| Norma Dumont ← pick | Joselyne Edwards | Dumont |
54%
Coin flip
|
DEC44% | Edwards | DEC | Apr 26, 06:24 PM | Auto-scored | Wrong | Miss |
| Montel Jackson ← pick | Raoni Barcelos | Jackson |
53%
Coin flip
|
KO/TKO24% | Barcelos | DEC | Apr 26, 06:24 PM | Auto-scored | Wrong | Miss |
| Davey Grant ← pick | Juan Martinetti | Grant |
60%
Lean
|
DEC42% | Grant | DEC | Apr 26, 06:24 PM | Auto-scored | Correct | Exact |
| Rafa Garcia ← pick | Alexander Hernandez | Garcia |
51%
Coin flip
|
DEC34% | Garcia | DEC | Apr 26, 06:24 PM | Auto-scored | Correct | Exact |
| Aljamain Sterling ← pick | Youssef Zalal | Sterling |
51%
Coin flip
|
DEC39% | Sterling | DEC | Apr 26, 06:24 PM | Auto-scored | Correct | Exact |
| Jafel Filho ← pick | Cody Durden | Filho |
55%
Coin flip
|
KO/TKO24% | Durden | DEC | Pending | Manual | Wrong | Miss |